BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 39 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  164.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/29/2019 Home    W   169.36  30   7   1A  94 (  7-  6) Kent St                 5.27     17.73                      
  2 09/06/2019 Home    W   163.33  19   7   1B   4 (  9-  4) Sacramento St          -0.76     12.76                      
  3 09/14/2019 Away    W   169.89  10   7   1A  42 (  7-  6) Michigan St             5.80     -2.80                      
  4 09/21/2019 Home    L * 150.91  31  34   1A  69 (  5-  7) Colorado              -13.18     10.18                      
  5 09/27/2019 Away    W * 170.85  24  17   1A  48 (  8-  5) California              6.76      0.24                      
  6 10/12/2019 Home    W * 167.38  38  34   1A  37 (  6-  7) Washington St           3.29      0.71                      
  7 10/19/2019 Away    L * 161.48   3  21   1A  10 ( 11-  3) Utah                   -2.61    -15.39                      
  8 10/26/2019 Away    L * 147.99  32  42   1A  70 (  4-  8) UCLA                  -16.10      6.10                      
  9 11/09/2019 Home    L * 161.00  26  31   1A  27 (  8-  5) Southern Cal           -3.09     -1.91                      
 10 11/16/2019 Away    L * 162.12  34  35   1A  50 (  5-  7) Oregon St              -1.97      0.97                      
 11 11/23/2019 Home    W * 183.60  31  28   1A   9 ( 12-  2) Oregon                 19.51    -16.51                      
 12 11/30/2019 Home    W * 161.26  24  14   1A  78 (  4-  8) Arizona                -2.83     12.83                      
 13 12/31/2019 Neutral W   163.98  20  14   1A  57 (  6-  7) Florida St             -0.11      6.11                      
      Averages             164.09  24.8 22.4

Best game:  183.60 = 3 point win over Oregon
Worst game: 147.99 = 10 point loss to UCLA
Team stdev:   8.95